Anastasi Lecture Series
2021 Anastasi Lecture
Tuesday, October 25, 2021
5:30 pm at Lincoln Center
Anna Dreber Almenberg, Ph.D.
Johan Björkman Professor of Economics at the Stockholm School of Economics
Title: (Predicting) Replication Outcomes
Abstract: Which results can we “trust”? What share of results replicate in different literatures in the experimental social sciences? I will discuss several recent large replication projects in mainly psychology and economics, where my coauthors and I have redone experiments published in high impact journals with new and larger samples to see whether the main result replicates. I will also discuss our studies on “wisdom-of-crowds” mechanisms like prediction markets and forecasting surveys where researchers attempt to predict these replication outcomes as well as new outcomes. While the replications are mainly on experiments, there are reasons to believe that the problems are worse in non-experimental work. I will also discuss ways to increase the reliability of scientific results.
Anna Dreber is the Johan Björkman Professor of Economics at the Stockholm School of Economics. Her research is mainly in meta-science and behavioral economics, and focuses on replications and predicting replication outcomes in economics and psychology, but also explores topics such as hormones and economic decision making. Anna is also a member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences.
- October 2019 | The Bayesian Revolution, And Why You Should Care
- November 2018 | Psychology's Renaissance
- October 2017 | Improving Measurement: It's Time to Move Beyond Likert
- October 2016 | Improving Human Forecasts of Geopolitical Events
- September 2015 | Intelligence, Culture, and Society
- October 2014 | It’s Complicated: The Ongoing Saga of Opportunity in America
- October 2013 | Standardized Measurement in Behavioral Science: Blessing or Curse?
- October 2012 | The More Who Die, the Less We Care: The Arithmetic of Compassion
- October 2011 | Some Implications of Expertise Research for Educational Assessment
- November 2010 | Construct Validity Reconsidered: The Paradigm Shift in Educational and Psychological Testing
- October 2009 | How to Detect and Correct the Lies that Data Tell
- December 2008 | A Decision Theoretical Perspective on Psychometrics: Analyzing Test-Taking Behavior
Established in 2008 as part of the activities of the Anastasi Professor for Psychometrics and Quantitative Psychology, the Anastasi Lectures are delivered by leading experts in psychology, educational measurement, industrial and organizational psychology, and quantitative methods.
The Lectures honor Dr. Anastasi’s distinguished career. They showcase recent developments in the areas of measurement, assessment, testing, and quantitative psychology, and highlight their translation into policy and practice. The Lectures provide a unique opportunity to share with the public emerging research directions in psychometrics and measurement, and the critical implications of these developments to various testing (K-12 testing, college, and graduate admissions, personnel and employment) applications and other key policy arenas.
The Lectures take place in the Fall semester on the Lincoln Center Campus of Fordham University, and are open to faculty, students, and the general public.